The flock of hawks

The flock of hawks

: Reason’s Tim Cavanaugh breaks out his arsenal and shoots at the liberal hawks — listing me — who aren’t voting for Bush.

One of the most dramatic and least surprising developments of Election 2004’s final period has been President Bush’s abandonment by the “liberal hawks,” the collection of left-leaning thinkers, commentators, and pundits who approved of the invasion of Iraq as a progressive operation, offered well reasoned and often enthusiastic support for Bush in the prelude to the war, were granted their wish by the White House, and have now paid the president back with withering criticism and endorsements for John Kerry.

Anybody seeking to prove the Kerryan criticism that George W. Bush doesn’t know how to build an alliance need look no further than the pan-ideological coalition he built right here at home. In the heat of battle, when their support was most important, the liberal hawks broke ranks and fled the battlefield. Nor will they acknowledge having betrayed the president who gave them what they claimed to wish for: In the minds of the liberal hawks, it is Bush who has betrayed their grand ideals with his “mismanagement” of the postwar situation.

He makes a few flawed assumptions: First and foremost that Iraq is the only issue that makes us decide our vote; it isn’t. Second, that criticizing any administration’s execution on any issue is an abandonment; welcome to a world of grays.

He argues that we liberal hawks can’t complain about inadequate force in Iraq because that gives lie to our contention that the real reason to go into Iraq was to establish democracy and that Iraqis were ready and eager for the right to run their nation.

If keeping Iraq on life support meant committing a vast occupying force indefinitely, then clearly Iraq wasn’t a very good test case for the democratic experiment.

That’s clearly a crock and too glib by half. Every nation on earth is ready for democracy but they can be thwarted by tyrants and terrorists and Iraq has been the victim of both.

Then Cavanaugh argues:

More than that, the liberal hawks must consider the very real possibility that what is happening today in Iraq is not an unforeseeable disaster but the best outcome any reasonable person could have expected.

He has a point. It is anybody’s guess. But I think we made the wrong guess about the terrorists (“insurgents” in some dictionaries) who would do — no, are doing — anything to stop freedom and democracy from rising in Iraq. Fine. Anybody could guess wrong. But the problem is that we haven’t admitted that mistake and worked hard to fix it. Am I worried about Iraq? Absolutely. I don’t think we had a great choice here: Bush lacks the ability to fix the mistake; Kerry lacks the will. But both men do know that they cannot fail at this and I believe — hope and pray — that either will do their best to make better guesses going forward.

I hope Tom Friedman — the liberal hawk who truly did retreat from the policy he helped establish and justify — was wrong when he said on Bill Maher this weekend that either candidate will get us out of Iraq in less than a year. That is the abandonment that matters — not of Bush but of the Iraqi people.

9 responses to “The flock of hawks”

  1. Jack Avatar

    “Every nation on earth is ready for democracy” sure?
    I’m not. People who are still organised in a tribal culture (as is the case in a lot of Arabic states) are not likely to give up their traditional institutions at once!
    If poeple don’t have a tradition of choice over their leaders it’s very unlikely that they’ll change their minds and move towards a new political system.
    I guess the great majority of professors who investigate and research in that field would agree with me!

  2. Richard Aubrey Avatar
    Richard Aubrey

    Jeff, ref the insurgency:
    We haven’t recognized our mistake and worked hard to fix it.
    From that it follows you have a reasonably realistic picture of what working hard to fix it would look like.
    Taking into account the real world and stuff like that.
    What is it?

  3. El Jefe Avatar

    You actually watch Bill Maher?

  4. TMH Avatar

    I am getting mightily tired of the “admit our mistakes” meme. First, it is a leading question — it obviously presupposes that the occupation of Iraq has gone badly, and that the Bush administration should join its critics in surrender.
    Second, if you have plans for what could be done differently, by all means advance them. If they are not adopted, you have a legitimate complaint. Until you do this, you are simply trying to make the administration hand you a cudgel with which to beat it.
    Finally, the whole culture of “admitting” and “apologizing” is intrinsically sick, part of the “new gnosticism”. See J.M. Coetzee’s _Disgrace_ for an accurate dissection of this.

  5. pele Avatar

    Why do Americans use ‘conflict talk’ so much in conversation ie “the liberal hawks broke ranks and fled the battlefield”?
    Anyway good luck America. I wish you the best result possible in this election and I hope and pray things improve from here on in.

  6. Paul Avatar

    Mr. Bush has been “abandoned” by hawks – Democratic and Republican alike – for a very simple reason. The folks that supported him prior to the Iraq invasion expected him to show his father’s wisdom – to listen to the professionals experienced in planning battles and their aftermath. Instead, Mr. Bush chose the side of the intellectuals in his administration (though I’m sure Cheney, Rummy/Wolfie, and Condi would never allow themselves to be labeled as intellectuals), none of whom had any real experience in what was about to be undertaken.
    Mr. Bush ignored any practical, experience-based advice (from within his administration – Colin Powell – and from the Pentagon) in his planning and execution of the war in Iraq. That is what he still refuses to admit, and that is why he is being abandoned by even hawkish thinkers (especially those with real experience) from both parties.

  7. Immolate Avatar

    Before demanding that someone “admit” to a mistake, there is a presumption that you can offer evidence that a mistake was made. There is no mistake in failing to accurately predict what will happen after the surgical removal of the cornerstone of Sunni minority rule in Iraq and the overthrow of their regime. There is no useful precedent for this.
    It isn’t enough to say that things are bad in Iraq. You also have to make a convincing, perhaps even overwhelming argument that, if things had been done differently, things would be better. Then you have to buttress that argument with another that demonstrates why Bush should have chosen your alternative at the time that he chose his own instead. Anything else is just Monday-morning quarterbacking and not worthy of serious consideration.
    Please don’t use the “more troops” theory too recklessly. There is a political cost to more troops both here at home and in Iraq — a cost that can only be accepted if the return can reasonably be expected to be worth it. Insurgencies aren’t defeated by massive force but rather by selective force, intelligently applied. If more were always better, we’d have the best public education system in the history of our country today.

  8. Reid Avatar

    TMH & Immolate – you got that right!

  9. TMH Avatar

    Well, the bit about gnosticism I stole from the highly intelligent http://doctorisin.blogspot.com/2004/06/liberalism-and-gnosticism_19.html (hat tip: American Digest).