Micropayment, macropain

Micropayment, macropain
: At Friday’s MIT Media Lab meeting for some New York media types, Dan Ariely of the Media Lab and the Sloan business school gave a great presentation of his research on micropayments. I can’t summarize it fairly; I’ll just say that if you’re a media company looking at charging for content online, you should hire Ariely to consult; if you’re Clay Shirky or Rafat Ali, you should buy the guy lunch.

Ariely said first that the gap between zero and any price is gigantic. They offered fancy chocolates to students for 14 cents each and Hirshey’s kisses for 1 cent each; 80 percent chose the fancy chocolates. When they lowered the price to zero, 80 percent chose the kisses. It’s the money; it’s also the hassle; it’s the pain of payment. Ariely has been measuring that pain.

They then ran an experiment giving students $10 and telling them they had to stare at a screen for 45 minutes or buy content on various models: subscription; prepayment; micropayment. The results: They consumed 10 times more content on subscription basis than by micropayment. “The pain of payment has an unbelievably large effect,” Ariely said. But when asked what method they preferred — specifically, what method would yield the highest quality content for them — the subjects said micropayment. So business-model as they do, not as they say.

More from MIT
: A few other random notes from the MIT meeting:

: MIT and others are starting to analyze personality and opinion based on writing and a weblog is a good sample. What a great blog tool: Analyze my blog and analyze me. Analyze my blog and really make good Amazon recommendations. Analyze my blog and recommend friends. My blog is my avatar. My blog is an expression of the essential me.

: Esther Dyson mentioned the latest thing in search: social search. Eurekster looks at what your friends search for.

: I am dying for the passive friends network (and Technorati is a credible start): To whom do I link? What are their connections? What are my connections? The problem is separating positive links from negative, perhaps even grading the quality of links. I don’t want to spam my friends to enter networks. I’m already in networks; I want systems that measure and map that.

: The man next to me from New York Times said that when he and his wife were going on vacation, they kept searching on destinations to their dissatisfaction. So his wife started searches with “we stayed at….” and they found great recommendations.

: Walter Bender of MIT and Dan Gruhl, graduate now at IBM, said they independently did research on buzz on music online and they each found that online buzz presaged retail sales — up and down — by two weeks. We are influencers influencing buyers.

: Gruhl said a third of the Web is porn and half the remainder is copies of other pages, leaving one third as the meat on the bone.

: The Media Lab is working hard on something called Common Sense — the collection of the common-sense knowledge we all assume but computers don’t know — to help organize the Web and knowledge, better than the semantic web can (that is, without all the effort).

I do like these events; they’re cardiovascular work for the imagination.

8 responses to “Micropayment, macropain”

  1. hugh macleod Avatar

    “My blog is my Avatar”. Wow. Jeff, that is really profound. Seriously. As somebody who’s dependant on his blog to make a living, I totally agree with that- it’s such a simple, succinct phrase.
    Also, I agree with what you say about micropayments. A couple of months ago I put up a tip jar on my site, just to see what would happen (in a word: nothing). It’s not that people would mind paying me a dollar, it’s just… well, they couldn’t be bothered, quite understandably. It’s not an aversion to being minus a dollar, it’s an aversion to having to go through the tip-jar-credit-card-details process. It’s a drag.

  2. Dan Z. Avatar

    Re: Micropayments
    I’d like to have heard what Ariely said, because frankly, the test as you describe it sounds like a better argument *for* micropayments than against. When they lowered the price of kisses to zero(!), 20% of the users still chose to purchase the fancy chocolates? That flies in the face of Shirky’s prediction; it doesn’t support it.
    There’s a lot of very superficial analysis of micropayments out there right now, and I suspect we’ll see more of the same in the future. The problem is that some are still conceptualizing micropayments the same way they did in the 90’s. But the penny-a-page model is dead, moribund, deceased already, and anyone who thinks they’ve achieved something by slaying the corpse of that dragon again isn’t paying attention. No one expects to charge every reader a penny to read their blog entry or news article, except perhaps for some wishful thinking by big content providers. When you hear micropayments, you ought to be thinking “50 cents a song”, not “a penny a page”.
    I’ve also heard a lot of supposedly smart people describe this as a struggle between free content and pay content, as if it were impossible to mix the two. This kind of simplistic thinking runs throughout every major critique of micropayments I’ve read. The same applies for the subcription content vs. micropayment content argument — micropayments add options for subscription sites, they don’t subtract them.
    Leisuretown, probably the best comic the web ever birthed, died recently, and I can’t help but think that micropayments really might have saved it. Tristan Farnon’s obsessively detailed work took too long to create for subscriptions to really make sense. But he might have incentivized donations by keeping a few special comics behind the micropayment door. $1 lets you in; pay more if you want. Leisuretown had a strong brand, and branding is essential to selling with micropayments. Branding is the art of making your products so distinct in your customers’ minds that they are irreplacable, and Tristan had done that with Leisuretown. Scott McCloud did that with his audience, too. Over 1350 people paid $3 to view his online comic, but there are still tonguecluckers who seem determined to ignore actual successes in favor of imaginary failures.
    Micropayments aren’t a panacea; they’re not the devil either. They’re just a tool, to be used when appropriate. The next time you read an article claiming that free content will always outcompete pay content, remember Leisuretown. Free isn’t always enough.

  3. henrycopeland Avatar

    Thank you for the reporting, Jeff.

  4. Andrew | BYTE BACK Avatar

    I’m with Dan Z – I didn’t understand the summary.
    There must have been other steps involved.
    Also did they do this test there on the spot or were they reporting their study.
    Because, frankly if they did the test on the spot there, surrounded by people who knew what was expected, then there would have been all kinds of second guessing.

  5. JohnC Avatar

    Re: Common Sense
    Yet another case for dividing folks between Right and Left? There certainly seems to be a divide between these two groups in the definition of: Common Sense.

  6. JP Avatar

    After so many years micropayment still is an unresolved issue. Unbelievable. In the nordic countries they are trying to take the sting out of payment by use of premium SMS. Curious to see what will eventually stick.
    Thanks for the heads-up though on MIT’s research.

  7. Felix Avatar

    Give computers common sense? Not gonna happen the way they’re trying it. Doug Lenat & the Cyc project have been trying it for the past 15 years, by hand-encoding in logical statements facts about the world. It’s old school AI, and it doesn’t work when you try to scale it. We learn common sense by interacting with the world, not by memorizing a series of facts.

    There’s a saying, “you have to be pretty smart to be that stupid”

  8. David Sifry Avatar

    Kevin Marks has a great idea called “Vote Links” – whereby you can add an extra tag to all of your tags (which represent links) to designate your vote for or against something to which you’re linking.
    http://www.hyperorg.com/blogger/mtarchive/001313.html
    I love the idea of social search. Watch this space…
    Dave