Posts from October 2004

TV makes us smarter

TV makes us smarter

: Steven Johnson is working on a book I can’t wait to read (and will soon) because it echoes a screed I’ve been shouting for years: TV and popular culture are the best proof of our taste and intelligence. For the first time, he writes about what he’s writing here.

It’s just me trying to marshal all the evidence I can to persuade the reader of a single long-term trend: that popular culture on average has been steadily growing more complex and cognitively challenging over the past thirty years. The dumbing-down, instant gratification society assumption has it completely wrong. Popular entertainment is making us smarter and more engaged, not catering to our base instincts.

In sync?

In sync?

: Anybody else watching Saturday Night Live? (And my condolences if you are.) I just caught most of Eminem’s performance and call be crazy but it sure did look to me like he was lip syncing — moments before Weekend Update made lame jokes about last week’s Ashlee simpson sync scandal.

Anybody ready for some forensic TiVo work?

: Rex Hammock reports immediately in the comments:

Jeff, the 14-year-old in my house and I both agree that he was lip synching…or he’s a ventriloquist.
Methinks we have a new sync scandal!

Another newspaper circulation scandal

Another newspaper circulation scandal

: The New York Times messes up a circulation report — in a report on Daily Kos (which I disdained here).

The paper quoted NZ Bear’s site saying that 500,000 individuals visited Kos daily. NZ Bear wrote to the paper asking for a correction, saying that the number is actually a count of “visits” and that individuals can account for multiple visits each day. The Times refused to make the correction. Go see the Times editor make a fool of himself in emails Bear publishes.

Bear is absolutely right and The Times is absolutely wrong. And I say that with the authority of an Internet executive who has dealt with these issues for 10 years now and as a founding member of the Audit Bureau of Circulation online committee that officially defined exactly these measurements with the Internet Advertising Bureau.

A “visit” is and always has been a bogus number because it counts only a session, not a unique user (and it gets even more complicated with a site is handled by multiple servers or when a user refuses cookies but I won’t bore you with that). See the IAB definitions here if you dare. Further, as Bear says, these numbers come from Sitemeter, which is not very sophisticated at dealing with spiders and such. So there is no doubt that the number is inflated if The Times is trying to express audience.

All The Times editor had to do is pick up the phone and call NY Times Digital to find this out.

The choice between two styles, no substance

The choice between two styles, no substance

: John F. Harris in Sunday’s Washington Post gives us a smart and even balanced analysis of the leadership styles of Bush and Kerry.

It leaves out one judgment critical to deciding between the two: competence. There are plenty of questions about both men on that scale and if you believe neither can afford to lose the war against America, then that’s what it’s really all about; that’s the real gamble.

Nonetheless, here’s a view that’s close to the mark:

Back last summer, John F. Kerry made an observation that struck him and his partisans as so self-evidently true it could hardly be disputed. The Democratic nominee said the U.S. intervention in Iraq so far has done more to recruit terrorists than to defeat them.

President Bush reacted with a disdain and disbelief that no one who heard it could doubt was genuine. “I don’t think they need an excuse for their hatred and their evil hearts. You do not create terrorists by fighting back; you defeat the terrorists by fighting back.”

Or these days, you’d think Bush would say, you defeat the terrorists by fighting first. But I interrupt:

There, in that exchange, was the 2004 election in miniature. There are two leaders who agree the world is a dangerous place, but disagree radically about the nature of history’s test and the brand of leadership it demands. A mind that sees complexities and unintended consequences? Or one that understands the primitive nature of a new war, and is prepared to match the enemy’s determination with his own?

A fair description, I thought. And it continued:

The result is a campaign in which the people on different sides of the fault line seem to be living in alternate realities, unable to agree on even basic facts. One group perceives Bush as one of the great visionaries of recent U.S. history, another as one of its most extravagant failures.

Again, I’d add competence as a layer: Was the aftermath in Iraq competently executed by Bush? Can Kerry do it any better? Place your bets, ladies and gentlemen. In this roulette wheel, you choose between red and blue.

Bush and Kerry, according to some scholars of leadership, both have a rhetorical problem: Their style of speaking often highlights the defects rather than the advantages of their different approaches.

James MacGregor Burns, a presidential biographer…, said many of the successful presidents, including Franklin Roosevelt, have been improvisers. But Kerry, unlike Roosevelt, has not been able to articulate that his occasional shifts rest on a “set of broader principles,” he said.

The result is what Burns regards as an unfair perception that Kerry is motivated by “expediency and shiftiness.”

Renshon believes that Bush suffers from the same problem in reverse. The biographer strongly rejects the view held by many Bush critics that the president is simply not very intelligent, but acknowledges that he is not drawn naturally to the details of policy in the fashion of Clinton or Kerry.

Bush is “much more interested in leadership than governing,” Renshon said. But with his guttural style, “he does not articulate his premises well.”

But, of course, some presidents can do both. Clinton did. I was not his fan but I could agree that Reagan did. I’d sure take that choice over this one.

: And I’d take that election-eve analysis over what I’ve read so far in the Sunday Times.

Thomas Friedman, who has not regained his stride since his leave and since he started doubting the Bush Iraq strategy he once enthusiastically endorsed, now writes a cloying column endorsing Bush — Bush the senior — and arguing without daring to say so that Kerry is Bush Sr.’s actual heir. Talk about damning with faint praise.

And Frank Rich, who has not recovered from leaving the theater beat, still tries to turn politics into a play:

No president has worked harder than George W. Bush to tell his story as a spectacle, much of it fictional, to rivet his constituents while casting himself in an unfailingly heroic light. Yet this particular movie may have gone on too long and have too many plot holes. It may have been too clever by half. It may have given Mr. Kerry just the opening he needs to win.

If only the candidates could sing and dance.

: See also Todd S. (for snotty) Purdum, below.

Post: +1

Times: -3

The two-for-one vote special

The two-for-one vote special

: My parents spent two hours Friday waiting to vote in Florida. Oh, those Florida retirees: They just can’t resist an earlybird special.

Moving day

Moving day

: Rebecca MacKinnon has a new blog.

But you already knew that

But you already knew that

: Yes, you already knew that John Dvorak was an utter ass who, like any brat, acts up when he’s desperate for attention. He’s desperate again, and so he writes that blogs and the internet and the people and anybody on earth except him is wrong about everything. So there.

Information revolution notwithstanding, the Internet will prove to be the undoing of society and civilization as we know it. It may not happen today, but it will happen sooner than we think….

I used to think that everyone was entitled to his opinion, but no longer. Most opinions are worthless….

Almost everyone on the Net is anonymous. When you see someone on the street handing out a flyer, it is usually not hard to determine whether he or she is a lunatic. Not so with the haughty blogger who, by hiding behind a good online template, is actually taken seriously. A blogger who stays hidden long enough may even become famous. I know, not every blogger is a whack job

Wackies out of the woodwork

Wackies out of the woodwork

: I’m getting nutty email from people promising all kinds of killer last-minute revelations against one of the candidates. I won’t dignify their insanity with details. But get ready for notes of desperation in these last few days. Hell, even bin Laden’s joining in.